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Možda Britanija i Amerika nisu bile podeljene zajedničkim jezikom, onako kako je George Bernard Shaw nekom prilikom tvrdio, ali Evropska unija očigledno jeste podeljena rečju koja je trebalo da posluži kao njen kamen temeljac: ta reč je solidarnost.
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Kada je kuga stigla u London 1665. godine njegovi stanovnici izgubili su prisebnost. Savjetovali su se s astrolozima, šarlatanima, konsultovali Bibliju. Tražili su po svojim tijelima znakove bolesti: otekline, plikove, tamne mrlje. Preklinjali su za proročanstva, plaćali da im predviđaju budućnost, molili se bogu, zapomagali. Zatvarali su oči, pokrivali uši, ridali na ulicama, čitali uznemirujuće pamflete. Vlada je, želeći da suzbije paniku, pokušala „da spriječi štampanje takvih knjiga jer su prestravljivale narod“, zabilježio je Danijel Defou „Dnevniku kužne godine“, priči koju je napisao u isto vrijeme kada i „Potrebne mjere zaštite protiv kuge“, 1722. godine u kojoj su ljudi strahovali da bi bolest na nekom trgovačkom brodu mogla ponovo preći preko Lamanša, nakon što je proputovala od Bliskog istoka do Marseja. Defo se nadao da će njegove knjige biti korisne „i nama i potomcima, iako bismo mi trebali biti pošteđeni ove gorke čaše“. No ta je gorka čaša bila već izvađena iz vitrine.
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Nema sumnje da je pandemija korona virusa proizvela ozbiljnu globalnu krizu. I nema sumnje da će nosioci vlasti pokušati da iskoriste priliku da prošire svoja ovlašćenja. Neki verovatno neće hteti da se odreknu novih ovlašćenja kada pretnja prođe.
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Još je prerano za procene kako će se pandemija korona virusa dugoročno razvijati. Ali već je jasno da nas iza ugla možda čeka nova globalna recesija koja će se značajno razlikovati od onih iz 2001. i 2008. Prvo, nova recesija će verovatno doći iz Kine i moguće je da je već počela. Kineska privreda je visoko zadužena i ne može priuštiti sebi dužu pauzu u ekonomskim aktivnostima, kao što to nije mogao ni Japan u periodu brzog rasta 80-ih godina prošlog veka.
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Otkad je počela pandemija mnogi kažu „Ovo je dobra prilika da se dogodi X“ – gde je X nešto što su oduvek priželjkivali. Ali ovo nije ta prilika. Dosad smo krizu izazvanu korona virusom uglavnom tumačili iz dva ugla, epidemiološkog i ekonomskog, i u oba slučaja slika je bila sumorna. Verujem da isto važi i za pogled iz perspektive geopolitike.
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U nedavno objavljenom članku u časopisu Foreign Affairs tvrdio sam da je pažnja kreatora državnih politika, pa i javnosti uopšte, pogrešno usmerena na održavanje fiktivnih ekonomskih parametara (kao što su berzanski indeksi) ili finansijsko stanje kompanija. Takvi parametri, naravno, nisu nevažni. Ali u situaciji dubokog poremećaja ekonomskih aktivnosti i krize koja je slična ratnom stanju, fokusiranje na finansijske indikatore odvlači pažnju sa važnijih stvari. Pažnju treba usmeriti pre svega na fizičke veličine (kao što je u ratnom stanju uvek i bio slučaj, na primer, u Sjedinjenim Državama za vreme Drugog svetskog rata).
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The article is a summary of research on the actual and potential integration of environmental insurance and ISO 14001 environmental management systems (EMSs) in Poland. The aim ofthe research is to analyze the relationship of the above-mentioned instruments of environmental risk management and to identify the factors determining the propensity of enterprises to implement such elements of the system that will increase the usefulness of ISO 14001 standards for insurance purposes in the future. The data for the study were obtained through an asynchronous group interview conducted on the Bulletin Board platform among insurance sector experts and through a survey of organizations that implemented the ISO 14001 system in Poland. Template analysis of qualitative data, supported by narrative techniques and statistical analysis based on the chi-square test of independence, U Mann–Whitney test, Kruskal–Wallistest, Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient were used to interpret the data. Environmental management systems according to ISO 14001 are not, in their current form, used in the process of providing insurance cover for environmental risk. Organizations managed according to ISO14001 rarely design and implement solutions useful to insurers. The latter, however, are statistically significantly correlated with the awareness attributes of the organization. Awareness attributes were also strongly related with the variables describing the propensity to implement additional – useful for insurance purposes – EMSs elements. The strongest motivators for the above, however, were of a non-insurance nature (e.g. obtaining tax credit).
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MIKSER, Vesna Madžoski: Tamna strana globalizacije – Mađioničari Ničije zemlje; ŠTRAFTA, Aleksandra Sekulić: Sećanje sa predumišljajem; ARMATURA, Vahida Ramujkić, Debatni program ULUS: (N)i priznati (n)i slobodni (samostalni); VREME SMRTI I RAZONODE, Eboni Stjuart: Ova pesma govori o radosti; BLOK BR. V, Radovan Popović
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Germany is among the biggest beneficiaries of the global economic system based on free trade and on cross-border organisation of production. However, the functioning of this system has been recently disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, which has highlighted the vulnerability of excessively stretched supply chains. It has also been hit hard by Russia’s attack on Ukraine and by the resulting sanctions, which are aggravating supply-related problems and stoking political divisions between the major powers. All of these forces may lead to the global economy splitting into competing platforms, and to the logic of cost optimisation being abandoned infavour of risk mitigation. If this happens, Germany would face a difficult strategic dilemma and embark on one of the following three options. The first option would involve defending the increasingly unstable status quo and the benefits of exchange patterns associated with it. In the second option, Berlin could favour a political and military consolidation of the West, and at the same time let businesses operate freely and move between the competing platforms. The third option involves taking part in the creation of an alliance of democratic states, accompanied by partial de-globalisation and an overhaul of the present economic model. While this is the most radical scenario, in the context of the continuously expanding sanction regime targeting Moscow and the mounting chaos in global supply networks (caused by China’s pandemic restrictions), its likelihood is increasing.
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On 26-28 June, a meeting of the leaders of the G7 countries took place at Elmau Castle in Bavaria. The key topics were the war in Ukraine and the resulting energy and food crisis. The summit showed the group’s consistency with regard to Russia’s aggression and global challenges, although some of the decisions made are not very ambitious. It will be important for the long-term effectiveness of the G7 to involve partners from other parts of the world, including developing countries, which is one reason for the guest participation in the meeting of the leaders of Argentina, India, Indonesia, South Africa, and Senegal.
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𝑆𝑜𝑐𝑖𝑒𝑡𝑎𝑠 𝐶𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑐𝑎 is a multilingual collection of papers presented at the international scientific conference that has been organized by the Department of Classical and Eastern Languages and Cultures of St. Cyril and St. Methodius University of Veliko Tarnovo (Bulgaria) since 2002. Until 2015, the conference was held annually. Since 2018, it is held once every two years. St Cyril and St Methodius University Press issues the collection within the Dr. Nicola Piccolo series. The wide range of topics and the opportunity for authors to submit their academic publications in the original language attracts researchers from all over the world.
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Europe is faced with yet another crisis that reminds of the horrors of the two world wars. The consequences of the war ravaging the Eastern part of the European continent, will not be limited only to the region, but will have ramifications on the rest of the world as well. Russia started the war with Ukraine after a number of phases of oscillations and conflicts in their relations since the fall of the Soviet Union (USSR) in 1990. Relations between the two countries culminated at various levels and erupted with the Russian military intervention.
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Ukraine is a battlefield and also a negotiating table. An area of dispute of the “Clash of Civilizations” predicted by Samuel Huntington in the near but distant 1996. Ukraine is where it all ends and starts. It’s where Eurasianism ends (the dream of a Europe from Lisbon to Vladivostok) and is where the new chapter of the perpetuum bellum begins between the extremes of the West: North America and Russia. And it is, above all, a key theatre of operations of the “Third World War in pieces”.
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It is less important whether in appraisals of the new social-political processes there is more scientific ground or the laic comprehension thereof. It is important that the rate of those processes is far higher than the referent theoreticians have been predicting. Different kind of conclusions can be made today about the world as a “global village”. I am pointing out four of those which can have a great significance in consideration of geopolitical processes. Firstly, new technologies have made all the civilisation achievements in all fields accessible to almost the whole mankind on the planet. Secondly, the achievements in the field of democracy are intriguing to everyone, disregarding of the real value thereof. Thirdly, globalisation side effects are expanding and connecting faster than anything else. Typical globalisation side-effects are organised crime and corruption, neoliberalism as fascism and armed religious fanaticism. Fourthly, in the past times the role-models were in our surroundings. The role-models today are the ones from greater distances. Social networks are becoming the means in this conclusion. All of the aforesaid becomes a parameter of strategic significance in disclosure of geopolitical processes.
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Ecological degradation and climate changes in the past decades have caused the growing concern of citizens and the formation of many movements for environmental protection. However, along with legitimate activism, radical and extreme groups have emerged that use violent methods to advance their goals. In recent years, there has also been a significant increase in environmentally motivated violent incidents, which can lead to the delegitimization and criminalization of justified environmental initiatives. Serbia is no exception in this regard. Thus, in the last few years, environmental initiatives have appeared that oppose lithium mining in Serbia, which the authorities called eco-terrorists and eco-extremists in order to discredit them. Therefore, it is important to clearly distinguish radicalism from extremism in order to support democratic activism while preserving community safety.
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The increasing reliance of citizens on digital technologies and devices has influenced the fact that states and private actors increasingly reach for various systems and tools for digital surveillance of citizens. Thus, high-resolution cameras, artificial intelligence and programs for biometric recognition, and tools for automatic data collection from the Internet as well as intrusive software for monitoring mobile phones have become the everyday reality of citizens around the world.
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Although the analysis covers the entire year 2020 and the beginning of 2021, the greatest attention was given to the state of emergency in the spring of 2020. The construction of the narrative was facilitated in the conditions of excessive presence of government representatives in the media, at almost daily press conferences, addresses to the nation, and numerous appearances of the President of the Republic, the Prime Minister, doctors from the government’s Crisis Response Team and several ministers on television. In addition, access to authentic information on the consequences of the pandemic was largely denied to the public. In that narrative, the holders of power, the President of the Republic in particular, were presented as skillful and dedicated saviors of the citizens from the plague. The elderly population, the functionality of the healthcare system and the economy took turns as priorities (victims) that needed to be protected.
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This analysis by the Belgrade Centre for Security Policy (BCSP) concludes that during the 52 days it spent in a state of emergency, Serbia failed the test of democracy, thanks to a series of failings and irregularities in the conduct and control of the security sector.The police did not always conduct themselves professionally, proportionately and as politically neutral agents primarily concerned with the needs and rights of citizens. The criteria on the basis of which the Ministry of the Interior issued permits for movement during the curfew were not prescribed, which is why they were misused during the flare-lighting incident. People who arrived in Serbia before the state of emergency was declared were often not informed that they had been placed under mandatory self-isolation. Police harassment was observed in at least three cases, with the police internal control department reacting publicly only once.
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The nature of the change „that has not happened for 100 years“ is analyzed. The results of the research of the two authors from 2010 until now are shown – the cycles of evolution of the world market, the westward movement of the center of world trade and the risks of a world nuclear war. The geographical movement of world capital to the west is revealed.
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